Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 42.593830 50.227623 58.591068 68.401743 79.560806 91.824138 106.284942
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 29.762276 39.496539 51.210975 66.207711 84.743810 106.742518 134.648325
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 23.272577 33.889488 47.626830 66.405064 91.065590 121.976903 163.228061
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 19.198886 30.266766 45.489189 67.451234 97.736017 137.371907 192.390210
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 14.536876 24.837809 39.897200 62.803308 95.907172 141.036424 206.019604
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 12.629957 23.063215 39.094517 64.532739 102.678999 156.354067 235.844506
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.577163 20.659746 36.943240 63.880124 105.746487 166.468311 258.820472
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.866643 20.348365 37.963102 68.072575 116.189891 187.621583 298.486597
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.884704 17.439314 34.329385 64.411024 114.168589 190.172503 311.073483
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 7.174041 16.751765 34.352075 66.686791 121.563595 207.171704 345.827921
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.879015 16.820180 35.694307 71.276358 132.957090 230.851136 391.746123
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.290341 16.185117 35.655436 73.404128 140.347544 248.564768 429.211699
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.413091 14.890916 34.426584 73.685121 145.343424 263.887722 465.646731
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.402698 13.092820 31.986204 71.527175 146.065532 272.564322 492.491205
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.773778 12.040228 30.886088 71.756020 150.979097 288.403218 531.685748
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.309734 11.285077 30.289788 72.874538 157.542128 307.336453 576.847421
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.522206 9.433389 26.932141 67.912208 152.191301 305.232815 586.492802
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.262891 9.014859 26.821521 69.759141 160.038915 326.768422 637.399849
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.909553 8.203167 25.617742 69.062256 162.765123 339.189286 673.027617
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.837392 8.284241 26.673798 73.537877 176.227577 371.887462 745.669880
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.433466 7.096841 24.216452 69.629177 172.118115 371.748277 759.869363
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.316876 6.910931 24.433801 72.058814 181.458572 397.363834 821.510621
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.288799 7.061264 25.619924 76.956146 196.393307 434.335624 905.256825